Let’s say you are in a constituency where the sitting MP has a humongous majority. Maybe a majority that is far, far bigger than all the votes for all of the other candidates combined. Like (say) Tottenham.
You have to ask yourself: What is the point in voting?
If you vote for the sitting MP your extra vote when added to the mountain they already have will make no difference. If you vote for any of the other candidates, you stand no chance whatsoever of changing the MP.
Even in a marginal seat a General Election constituency contest has only once been decided by a majority of one and that was back in 1910. As for a draw that has also only ever happened once, back in 1886.
The net result is is that on a personal level the physical and financial gain from participating in a vote, especially in a safe seat, is nil.
On this we have to hang the question: On an individual basis, what IS the point of voting?
The inescapable answer is that on a purely individualistic and selfish basis there is no point whatsoever.
But voting is not about the individual. Voting is above all else an altruistic act. It is selfless. It has no tangible reward. It results in a group decision where the wisdom of crowds prevails.
(which leads me into a book recommendation – a must read – "The Wisdom of Crowds" by James Surowiecki)
Even so, walking half a mile on a cold and rainy day to vote in an election where the outcome in your constituency is a forgone conclusion does test that altruism somewhat.
There is though a singular advantage in voting in a safe seat constituency. Especially if you are a little disillusioned with either the sitting MP or the main ( but distant) contenders.
You can safely experiment.
You can vote for someone else. You can vote for somebody or some party that takes your fancy. They don’t even have to have a fully formed policy base.
If it tickled you fancy you could vote for the Monster Raving Loony Party without consequence.
But rather than the Monster Raving Loony Party (who I am sure have a set of policies almost as good as any of the main partys anyway), why not use your vote to support a smaller party?
Why not vote for a party that is possibly struggling to get some notice?
Or maybe you would like to lend your support to a party that will achieve considerable electoral support across the country, but will, thanks to the inequities of out voting system gain no seats.
In either of these cases your vote does have some tangible effect.
For a small party like (say) the SDP it can provide vital visibility. With enough votes, even though they stand no hope of winning the seat, they’ll gain vital exposure. It may well stop them being quite so ignored by the media. Maybe they’ll start cropping up on the MSM Radar more often. This could give them vital publicity to fight future more winnable elections either locally or nationally.
For a larger party like (say) the Brexit Party a vote for them in an unwinnable seat is a vote of support. A vote that will be tallied up nationally. It will show with the millions of others across the country the inequities and plain damn unfairness of our electoral system.
So, as long as you regard altruism as a virtuous ideal, a vote in a safe seat is not a wasted vote.
You can, if you like, add it to the mountain for the current MP. Or vote for one of the traditional partys.
Or you can be adventurous.
Even a vote for the Monster Raving Loony Party is better than no vote at all!
Billothewisps posts by Topic
Showing posts with label Brexit Party. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Brexit Party. Show all posts
Brexit Party & SDP. A Crazy Idea. But….
OK. Laugh this out
of court if you like. It is (as it says on the tin) only a crazy
idea. I’d love your comments (however derogatory) either here or on twitter.
This concerns the
next General Election, which we all hope will not be long in coming.
It also concerns the Social Democratic Party (to whose members it is mainly aimed). So if you are not interested in the SDP or (say) the Brexit Party or even Brexit then stop reading now.
This post particularly
concerns the vulnerability of the Brexit vote to splintering and how
(this is the crazy bit) how to mobilise and maximise the Leave vote in
staunchly Labour areas to ensure Brexit.
It also concerns
(take a deep breath at this point – this is even crazier) also how
we may yet get some SDP MPs.
So, here we go.
The Conservatives
even though they are well ahead in the opinion polls, will struggle
in many traditional Labour seats. However dismal Labours policies
are, many will still vote for them rather than Conservative. The
historic loyalties of honest Northern voters will be played like a
fiddle by Momentum and their pals.
While the Brexit
party may gain traction in these seats it may not be enough. The end
result could well be that (thanks to our crap electoral system –
FPTP) in many traditional Labour seats the Labour candidate sneaks in
with 30-35% of the vote.
We could easily end
up with another minority Leave government or even worse a
minority/majority Remain government. Even though the electoral vote
share for Leave may swamp the Remain vote.
This has happened
before in UK General Elections. See these old posts of mine for dates
and what happened. (Overview Here) (Example 1 - 1929 ) (Example 2 -1951) (Example 3 - 1974)
One of the obvious
tactics that will be used by Labour to attack the Brexit Party will
be that (as viewed by many on the left) they are closet Tories.
Meanwhile many Tory voters in those same seats will see the Brexit
Party as a one trick pony with few policies or direction.
The Brexit Party
will get squeezed by both these ideas. Even though in fairness, it has gone some
way to ensure it has candidates that are other than small Tories, and
it also has policies beyond Brexit.
But voter perception
is King. You can bet your bottom dollar the Brexit Party will get
vilified by both sides.
So how does the SDP
fit into this?
To answer that we
need to look at the structure of the Labour Party. (Yes I told you
this was crazy. Now it is going to get bizarre)
Or rather lets look
at the structure of two separate partys. The Labour Party, and the
Cooperative Party.
Most Labour MPs are
just that. Labour MPs.
But 38 (who also
take the Labour whip) are not. They represent two parties. they are elected on a joint ticket for the Labour & Cooperative Party
Although these days
there is little difference between the two different parties, these
38 MPs in the House of Commons are actually from an alliance (dating
back to 1927) between the Labour Party and the Cooperative Party. (See Here).
Today they form the the fourth largest grouping in the House of Commons. They do NOT stand under the ticket of the Labour
Party but under a joint ticket. On the ballot paper voters put their
X in the box marked “The Labour & Cooperative Party”.
I expect you are way
ahead of me by now. But if not, let me expand.
To ensure success in
Labour Heartland seats, the Brexit Party needs to de-tory-fy itself.
It has done this to the best of its ability by selecting candidates
that are in the main clearly not Torys. But the stigma sticks.
If it
could form a public alliance with a Party with a strong working class
history that Labour voters could easily identify with, it would
greatly aid it electoral chances.
I would suspect too
that many of the chosen Brexit Party candidates, while fully
committed to delivering Brexit, are still somewhat unhappy about
being on exactly the same ticket as Nigel Farage and would like some
distance.
So for the Brexit
Party it would make a lot of sense to stand candidates as “Brexit
and SDP Party”. Just as some Labour candidates stand as “Labour &
Cooperative Party”
I’d put money on
it that Labour voters would much rather put an X in a box labelled
Brexit & SDP Party than one marked Brexit Party. (let alone one
marked Conservative)
It would also make a
lot of sense for the SDP to adopt some of the finer centre-left
candidates in the Brexit party as dual party members, and maybe
negotiate to replace one or two of the weaker ones with real quality
SDP candidates like Patrick O’Flynn.
Both partys would
gain.
As Robert E.
Heinlein once said
“Never appeal
to a man's 'better nature.' He may not have one. Invoking his
self-interest gives you more leverage.”
It is in the self
interest of the Brexit Party to have an alliance. It is also in the
self interest of the SDP to have an alliance.
It is in neither
partys interest to squabble or ignore each other.
(Right. I’ll
restart taking the medication now. Thank you)
Parish Councils are Dying. So What?
This is the last in
a series I’ve posted on how a new party could gain and maintain
power at the lowest level of UK democracy. That is at the Parish Council/
Town Council level.
A committed party could do this literally in a few months. In many cases without even standing for election. (See this post)
But then you have got to ask: Why would any party want to do this?
A committed party could do this literally in a few months. In many cases without even standing for election. (See this post)
But then you have got to ask: Why would any party want to do this?
Why bother?
It would involve a great deal of effort. For what gain?
Parish/Town councils all over the country are dying. So what would be the point in gaining power in failing councils?
Parish/Town councils all over the country are dying. So what would be the point in gaining power in failing councils?
If a party placed candidates to fill the rows of empty Councillor seats and then walked away without providing further support then little would be achieved. In fact in all likelihood it would be an utter and complete
waste of time.
Nothing would change. There may be a brief blip on the heart monitor for these councils but they will not be resuscitated. The death spiral will continue.
So how can local councillors make headway against the political apathy that engulfs their locality?
The only way out of this is to target issues affecting the locality and to do this vocally. Get your councillors to make a lot of noise about local issues. Let people know you're party is standing up for them. Especially on issues they are concerned about.
The only way out of this is to target issues affecting the locality and to do this vocally. Get your councillors to make a lot of noise about local issues. Let people know you're party is standing up for them. Especially on issues they are concerned about.
Yes. I know.
That's stating the bleeding obvious.
That's stating the bleeding obvious.
But I’d bet that
most issues affecting one Parish Council are almost identical to
those affecting its neighbour or even a similar sized Parish council
300 miles away.
Few problems at the Parish Council level will be
unique.
The issues struggled
with by Council A may well have been solved by Council B. Often many
years before.
But nobody knows. Like the Parish Councils themselves, all the little victories are anonymous. Re-inventing the wheel is the norm, while leveraging progress made elsewhere is rare.
I mooted an idea that each councillor could have the support of a number of lay-supporters and even other non-local councillors. (Here)
I mooted an idea that each councillor could have the support of a number of lay-supporters and even other non-local councillors. (Here)
Now imagine a forward looking party that links all these motivated and engaged individuals into a forum. A forum where problems can be posted specifically to find out if similar problems have been solved elsewhere.
Instead of one councillor and 2 or 3 lay-supporters grappling with a problem suddenly you have a central army
of 100’s of people.
An army ready to address a single Councillor's otherwise intractable problems and
find out how they have already been fixed elsewhere.
In essence you use
your small national political party as a force multiplier for your otherwise
isolated and under-informed Parish Councillor.
Couple that with
courses for councillors in using social media, film editing and
generally making a lot of fuss and you have a seriously effective and
popular Parish Council.
Then you have a
route forward. You will gain popularity and support from the community.
You have a strong political base to build on.
And its all stamped with the initials of your party.
Realistically no new party is going to miraculously get an opportunity to break into the higher levels of UK politic unless it builds a solid political base first.
I firmly believe Parish/Town councils offer that opportunity.
I hope you agree.
Heres the full set of posts on this topic:
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
The SDP and the Brexit Party
Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit
Arming the Parish Councillors
Parish Councillors: Party Affiliated or Independent?
Parish Councils are Dying. So What? (this post)
I firmly believe Parish/Town councils offer that opportunity.
I hope you agree.
Heres the full set of posts on this topic:
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
The SDP and the Brexit Party
Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit
Arming the Parish Councillors
Parish Councillors: Party Affiliated or Independent?
Parish Councils are Dying. So What? (this post)
Parish Councillors: Party Affiliated? Or Independent?
Independent
councillors make up the bulk of Parish/Town Councils. At the local level, people like local independents not party apparatchiks.
In my earlier posts (Start Here) I have discussed how a small party could
gain significant influence at the Parish Council level right across
the country without even having to win a vote. I've often used the Social Democratic Party as an example.
What should such a
small party brand their councillors as?
Do they put them up on
a party ticket?
Sad as it may seem, many view small party's with suspicion. Meanwhile standing on a ticket for larger party (and taking on the Parliamentary baggage that
comes with it) would in all likelihood be even worse.
At the Parish/Town council level, a candidate that describes themselves as "Independent" is viewed positively.
At the Parish/Town council level, a candidate that describes themselves as "Independent" is viewed positively.
But there is no rule or law against standing as an independent candidate while then qualifying your independent status.
In fact many councillors qualify their independent status already.
Today you often get candidates stating they are Independent but representing a residents association, or independent but "standing up" for this or that local campaign.
So there would to be no reason that a candidate could not stand as:
“Independent – affiliated to this or that Party.”
In fact many councillors qualify their independent status already.
Today you often get candidates stating they are Independent but representing a residents association, or independent but "standing up" for this or that local campaign.
So there would to be no reason that a candidate could not stand as:
“Independent – affiliated to this or that Party.”
But so what?
They ARE independent. Just using the facilities on offer from a party they align with to service their job. That does not compromise their independence but clearly gives an strong idea where they are coming from politically.
This has another
by-product.
Many (most?) of the country's Parish Councillors who stand as independents would love to benefit from a party support base. But they would not want to compromise their independent status by standing on a party ticket.
Wouldn’t be nice
to be able to offer them some support from the party support base as
well? (See last post) Many would jump at it and as a result would probably become valuable supporters.
No strings. No towing the party line. But if your views mostly align with the party in question you get the support.
Just change “Independent” to “Independent – affiliated to this or that party”.
Just change “Independent” to “Independent – affiliated to this or that party”.
But it all hinges on their being a proper structured support for Parish councillors from the party wishing to implement this.
Otherwise it is a waste of time.
Otherwise it is a waste of time.
Here's the full set of posts on this topic:
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
The SDP and the Brexit Party
Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit
Arming the Parish Councillors
Parish Councillors: Party Aligned? or Independent? (this post)
Parish Councils Are Dying: So What?
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
The SDP and the Brexit Party
Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit
Arming the Parish Councillors
Parish Councillors: Party Aligned? or Independent? (this post)
Parish Councils Are Dying: So What?
Arming the Parish Councillors
In my last post ( HERE ) I hope I proved that any political party with the drive to improve the failing bottom tier of UK local government could gain a significant representation in Parish/Town councils across the country without really trying.
In most cases their candidates would not even have to go though the process of being elected. (Yes. Things are that bad!)
But what happens then?
If a party wanted their councillors to do more than simply “get by” they would need to arm their councillors with some form of structured support. Support that is sadly lacking today. Irrespective of what party (or none) you are in.
Yet people join political partys to make a difference. So I think it would be reasonable to assume that the average party member is pre-disposed to helping out.
While many (the majority - in any party) would not wish to become actively involved to the extent of (say) actually being a Parish Councillor, they may well be willing to provide support to those that are.
Just as MPs have "staffers" running their office, maybe there should be mini "staffers" for Parish Councillors. People providing a couple of hours a week to letter-write/research and read through reports.
This would significantly reduce the Parish Councillors work load. More importantly it would give the Councillor a base of support to whom they can turn to for ideas, advice or simply a chat.
This support would itself make the prospect of becoming a councillor less daunting and increase supply of candidates.
This support would itself make the prospect of becoming a councillor less daunting and increase supply of candidates.
After a while as the lay-supporters also gain experience they may themselves feel more confident and put themselves forward as councillors.
However, this would entail considerable commitment and organisation from any party that tried to implement it. If the party in question sees only Parliamentary success as important then this is a waste of time.
Sadly I don't think there is ANY political party around today that has either the will-power or the inclination to rescue this vital bottom tier of UK government.
Everyone is focused on the top of the tree while the bottom rots away.
Next: It's Parish Councils and political branding. Also whether a party ticket can sometimes be a hindrance rather than a help.
Heres the full set of posts on this topic:
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
The SDP and the Brexit Party
Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit
Arming the Parish Councillors (this)
Parish Councillors: Party Aligned? or Independent?
Parish Councils are Dying: So What?
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
The SDP and the Brexit Party
Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit
Arming the Parish Councillors (this)
Parish Councillors: Party Aligned? or Independent?
Parish Councils are Dying: So What?
UK Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit
What if I told you that there is one tier of UK government that is so poorly supported that most (sometimes all) “elected” representatives are not elected at all.
To hold an election you obviously need at least two candidates. If you only have one candidate then holding an election is just a waste of time and money. The single candidate gets the job by default. No election is held.
That may sound bad. But, in fact the situation with the bottom tier of local government is far, far worse.
Many (not a few, or even some) of these Parish/Town councils have empty seats where nobody has put themselves forward as a candidate.
Going to the extreme, there are a significant number of these councils that are completely devoid of candidates. They literally have no-one who wants to do the job.
Here is a BBC report on this from April 2019
So why is this?
The UK is (mostly) controlled by three tiers of elected representatives.
Along with the BBC piece above I have done a little data scraping (currently incomplete - more to come) regarding the May 2019 local elections for my own county (Dorset - more counties to follow) I found the following:
To hold an election you obviously need at least two candidates. If you only have one candidate then holding an election is just a waste of time and money. The single candidate gets the job by default. No election is held.
That may sound bad. But, in fact the situation with the bottom tier of local government is far, far worse.
Many (not a few, or even some) of these Parish/Town councils have empty seats where nobody has put themselves forward as a candidate.
Going to the extreme, there are a significant number of these councils that are completely devoid of candidates. They literally have no-one who wants to do the job.
Here is a BBC report on this from April 2019
So why is this?
The UK is (mostly) controlled by three tiers of elected representatives.
- Member of Parliament. The top level. All seats are always contested in general elections and by-elections.
- County or District Councillor. Almost always (with rare exceptions) all seats are contested. I have not come across any seats that are left vacant due to a lack of candidates. Though I have come across the occasional uncontested seat (i.e.one candidate)
- Parish (and Town) Councillors This is where the problem lies. A large majority of Councillors do not have to face an election simply because nobody else wants to do the job. Even worse there are literally thousands of Parish Council seats across the country where nobody wants to do the job at all.
Along with the BBC piece above I have done a little data scraping (currently incomplete - more to come) regarding the May 2019 local elections for my own county (Dorset - more counties to follow) I found the following:
In May 2019 the local elections in Dorset revealed the following:
Parishes with contested seats: 53
Parishes with no contests:166
Parish Councils with no candidates at all: 24
By the way, there is nothing unusual about Dorset.
By the way, there is nothing unusual about Dorset.
I've yet to process one of the documents before I can work out how many of the councils with contested and uncontested seats actually also have vacancies but the BBC piece above indicates it is over 80% of the councils. I know my local Parish council has four vacancies. I do not suppose it is at-all unusual.
Surprised? Shocked even?
But (I hear you say) Parish councils have no power.
Maybe you think Parish councils are just golf club cliques who argue about the hanging baskets down the shopping arcade. Or act like commissars when deciding who gets an allotment.
Well, first off, Parish/Town Councils do have power - and responsibility.
While the powers of a Parish council are limited, they are important. Most do not exercise anywhere near their full capability, and that is because they collectively do not have the drive, the manpower or the expertise to do so.
Most Councillors (despite the caricatures) are earnest community orientated individuals who do the job for nothing and receive little or no praise for doing it. They do the job quietly and anonymously without seeking praise or reward.
The majority of Parish Councillors are independents. While a party aligned Councillor would gain the support and publicity from his/her party, independents have no such support.
So they simply do a lonely job and do not brag about it.
Even though they are a fabulous asset to the community, nobody knows they are there.
So, how could a small party (say - the SDP) make a big inroad into this dying layer of our democracy? How could they use Parish/Town Councils as a lever to improve peoples lives and so gain popularity and support?
The first (but most certainly NOT the last) requirement is to gain seats on Parish Councils.
This is easy! It can be done almost immediately.
How?
Remember all those empty seats from the May 2019 local elections? Most of them are still empty. In fact (although this is a bit anecdotal) I expect there are even more empty seats now than in May as some people will have pulled out and resigned.
I’d bet there are well over 1500 easy-to-fill empty seats across the country today. Anyone living within 3 miles of one can apply to be a Parish Councillor and fill the seat.
(In fact this is almost certainly a massive underestimate. There are 9000 parish/town councils in England alone. If 80% have vacancies then that is a minimum (one seat per parish) of 7200 vacancies. Bearing in mind many have multiple vacancies and some no Councillors at all I would suggest my 1500 easy-to-fill seat is probably an order of magnitude too small)
How do you get elected to one of those seats?
You don’t. You submit your CV, get nominated and co-opted.
Unless someone else actually applies at the same time no election is held.
Parish councils are desperate to fill vacant seats. If you have enough enthusiasm to have a go then you are in.
So that is why in my last post I said that the SDP (or any other party with enough committed members) could gain a significant number of seats and local power within 2 months.
Even with its hugely increased membership I would fully expect that there will be far more vacant seats than there would be SDP members willing to stand as Councillors.
And not a vote has to be cast.
But that is most definitely NOT it.
Unless those new Councillors get support (and lots of it) nothing would improve.
Any party that tried this without ensuring there was a strong support infrastructure for these new Councillors would end up with a lot of lonely, isolated and disillusioned people ruing the day the signed up for local government.
So how a political party avoid such a calamity and revive this failing tier of local government?
That's the next post.
That's the next post.
Heres the full set of posts on this topic:
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
The SDP and the Brexit Party
Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit (this post)
Arming the Parish Councillors
Parish Councillors: Party Aligned? or Independent?
Parish Councils are Dying: So What?
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
The SDP and the Brexit Party
Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit (this post)
Arming the Parish Councillors
Parish Councillors: Party Aligned? or Independent?
Parish Councils are Dying: So What?
The SDP and the Brexit Party.
During the Peterborough by-election the Brexit Party almost won. In fact many people (myself included) believe it only lost due to election fraud.
Meanwhile the SDP with arguably the best parliamentary candidate (and far more capable than any of the other candidates) lost its deposit.
I believe that this suggests that while the Brexit Party is in the ascendant then the SDP stands little hope in Parliamentary elections.
While losing is certainly no shame, I do believe that the drain on resources and more importantly the disappointment and associated hit to morale resulting from a poor result means the SDP should very carefully consider whether standing in Parliamentary by-elections at this stage in the SDP's revival is worthwhile.
So maybe the SDP should focus away from Parliamentary by-elections. Maybe at this point in time it should even lend a hand to the Brexit Party.
The Brexit Party is a one-trick pony and despite lots of fine words, at the moment it does not seem able or even inclined to break out of that straight jacket.
I may have to eat my words here about the "one-trick pony". I just discovered (a week after writing this) that the Brexit Party IS contesting local elections. If that is a policy move rather than just a couple of keen supporters doing a bit of DIY local politics then it will be a game changer. If it is the case then either the Brexit Party or the SDP could push forward into Parish/Town Councils.
Although the Brexit party has a great deal of momentum (all of which is associated with Brexit) it lacks the political depth of the SDP.
So when push comes to shove, in a friendly alliance, eventually (in the long term), it would be more likely that the SDP would absorb the Brexit Party membership than the other way round.
Assisting the parliamentary Brexit Party would help the SDP achieve one of its primary political ends (aka Brexit).
Properly handled it will also gain more visibility for the SDP.
Though to be fair, being an associate rather than the main item is not going to ignite the identity afterburner.
But maybe there is a way to ignite the SDP's identity. Possibly this can even be done quite quickly.
But it has to be decoupled from the Brexit debate.
Local politics at bottom tier of UK democracy is wide open. That is the Parish/Town Council level.
Forget about the fact we've only just had a set of local elections in May. It is irrelevant.
Gaining a significant representation across the country on this bottom tier of UK democracy could be achieved in a short time frame. In fact a very short time frame.
By short I mean SHORT.
OK. Now, sit down or at least stand well clear of breakable objects.
I believe that with the correct strategy a small party with popular policies could gain a significant amount of local power across the country almost without trying. The required budget would be minimal.
Theoretically it could do this within….
(Wait for it...)
Two months. Literally from today. That is with no new elections/law changes/special events or miracles.
Preposterous?
Nope.
I know. I’ve done the research.
Seriously.
And no! I’ve not been eating “funny” mushrooms. I’ll tell you how in the next post. Not only will I tell you. I’ll convince you! And easily too!
Really.
To be fair, it may well not be desirable to try and achieve such progress in such a blindingly short timescale. Planning and organisation is key and going off half-cocked could be disastrous.
But what I hope to show is that the SDP (or any other small party with popular policies) could change the landscape of British Politics in a relatively short time scale. No miracles involved.
The major difference from this to the more typical visualisations of changing the political landscape is that this visualisation starts at the bottom tier of UK democracy not the top.
I am not mad. (I promise)
Oh, OK.... Maybe just a bit...
The full set of posts on this topic:
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
The SDP and the Brexit Party (this post)
Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit
Arming the Parish Councillors
Parish Councillors: Party Aligned? or Independent?
Parish Councils are Dying: So What?
Meanwhile the SDP with arguably the best parliamentary candidate (and far more capable than any of the other candidates) lost its deposit.
I believe that this suggests that while the Brexit Party is in the ascendant then the SDP stands little hope in Parliamentary elections.
While losing is certainly no shame, I do believe that the drain on resources and more importantly the disappointment and associated hit to morale resulting from a poor result means the SDP should very carefully consider whether standing in Parliamentary by-elections at this stage in the SDP's revival is worthwhile.
So maybe the SDP should focus away from Parliamentary by-elections. Maybe at this point in time it should even lend a hand to the Brexit Party.
The Brexit Party is a one-trick pony and despite lots of fine words, at the moment it does not seem able or even inclined to break out of that straight jacket.
I may have to eat my words here about the "one-trick pony". I just discovered (a week after writing this) that the Brexit Party IS contesting local elections. If that is a policy move rather than just a couple of keen supporters doing a bit of DIY local politics then it will be a game changer. If it is the case then either the Brexit Party or the SDP could push forward into Parish/Town Councils.
Although the Brexit party has a great deal of momentum (all of which is associated with Brexit) it lacks the political depth of the SDP.
So when push comes to shove, in a friendly alliance, eventually (in the long term), it would be more likely that the SDP would absorb the Brexit Party membership than the other way round.
Assisting the parliamentary Brexit Party would help the SDP achieve one of its primary political ends (aka Brexit).
Properly handled it will also gain more visibility for the SDP.
Though to be fair, being an associate rather than the main item is not going to ignite the identity afterburner.
But maybe there is a way to ignite the SDP's identity. Possibly this can even be done quite quickly.
But it has to be decoupled from the Brexit debate.
Local politics at bottom tier of UK democracy is wide open. That is the Parish/Town Council level.
Forget about the fact we've only just had a set of local elections in May. It is irrelevant.
Gaining a significant representation across the country on this bottom tier of UK democracy could be achieved in a short time frame. In fact a very short time frame.
By short I mean SHORT.
OK. Now, sit down or at least stand well clear of breakable objects.
I believe that with the correct strategy a small party with popular policies could gain a significant amount of local power across the country almost without trying. The required budget would be minimal.
Theoretically it could do this within….
(Wait for it...)
Two months. Literally from today. That is with no new elections/law changes/special events or miracles.
Preposterous?
Nope.
I know. I’ve done the research.
Seriously.
And no! I’ve not been eating “funny” mushrooms. I’ll tell you how in the next post. Not only will I tell you. I’ll convince you! And easily too!
Really.
To be fair, it may well not be desirable to try and achieve such progress in such a blindingly short timescale. Planning and organisation is key and going off half-cocked could be disastrous.
But what I hope to show is that the SDP (or any other small party with popular policies) could change the landscape of British Politics in a relatively short time scale. No miracles involved.
The major difference from this to the more typical visualisations of changing the political landscape is that this visualisation starts at the bottom tier of UK democracy not the top.
I am not mad. (I promise)
Oh, OK.... Maybe just a bit...
The full set of posts on this topic:
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
The SDP and the Brexit Party (this post)
Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit
Arming the Parish Councillors
Parish Councillors: Party Aligned? or Independent?
Parish Councils are Dying: So What?
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
In the recent Peterborough Parliamentary by-election there was a candidate whose experience and expertise placed him head and shoulders above the rest.
That candidate was Patrick O’Flynn of the SDP. Here he is on YouTube sticking it to the pompous Brussels elite in the EU Parliament when he was an MEP.
Impressive eh?
But Patrick didn’t win in Peterborough. In fact he lost his deposit.
Meanwhile in an election almost certainly sullied by voting fraud, the Brexit Party candidate, coming from nowhere also lost when the seat was stolen from him.
Arguably if the election had been fair and free from cheating, the Brexit Party candidate would have won and we would have our first Brexit Party MP.
But this is not about the Brexit Party.
This is about the SDP or Social Democratic Party to give it its full name.
I expect most folk reading this already know about the history of this party but here’s a two point resume. Skip it if you know this already.
So why, with such an excellent candidate as Patrick O’Flynn, did the SDP do so badly in this by-election?
I believe the answer to that is simple. It is anonymity.
While Patrick (and others) have done stirling work on the MSM and social media to promote the party, it still has no edge. No clear identity to the public.
Compare the SDP to the pompous odious identity of the Green Party. While nobody really knows the crack-pot policies the Greens expound people still know “who” they are.
The Green Party has achieved this because they have for years successfully ridden of the backs of drama laden romantic attention seekers who have courted publicity at every stage.
These people played the victim (or the victim proxy) even when they were actually the intimidators, going around ruining peoples lives, jobs and (ironically on many occasions) the environment itself with their antics.
But the Green Party shamelessly hooked up with these characters, rode the wave and now has one MP and many councillors.
The SDP cannot do what the Green party has done. After-all the SDP is anything but an extremist party.
There is no publicity hungry enterprise that goes out of its way to promote social cohesion that the SDP can piggy-back off.
There is no pool of fanatics who will make lots of noise and disruption in the name of common sense.
There is no extremist driven ideology promoting the middle ground that the SDP can use to power it forward.
In essence the SDP is “The Sensible Party” and sadly in the real world this means it will fare even less well than its namesake in Monty Python.
Clearly, if the SDP cannot make a bigger impact on Parliamentary Elections than at Peterborough, especially when offering a truly superb candidate as Patrick O’Flynn, then it needs to re-think its strategy.
Especially as Parliamentary elections are ruinously expensive in money, time and effort.
Even if there was a miracle pathway to parliamentary success it would be pretty much choked off today by the Brexit Party. Both partys are strongly pro-brexit but today all the electoral firepower is with the Brexit Party.
If anything, in this narrow point in time where Brexit will be the electoral priority of those who would potentially vote SDP then a vote for the SDP will only be a counter-productive vote splitter in Parliamentary elections.
After Brexit though, things change.
Unlike the Brexit Party, the SDP is not seen (if it is seen at all!) as a single issue group. The Brexit Party is. Much as it tries to say otherwise it is seen as a single issue concern. The clue is in the name.
There are also avenues in other tiers of UK government that the Brexit Party appears to be simply not interested in. These offer fertile grounds for the SDP and some are in fact starved of any political input from just about anyone.
So could the SDP have a relationship with the Brexit party? And how can the SDP seek a pathway to influence and power in the near term other than through Westminster?
Here's the full set of posts on this topic.
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
The SDP and the Brexit Party
SDP: Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit
Arming the Parish Councillors
Parish Councillors: Party Aligned? or Independent?
Parish Councils are Dying: So What?
That candidate was Patrick O’Flynn of the SDP. Here he is on YouTube sticking it to the pompous Brussels elite in the EU Parliament when he was an MEP.
Impressive eh?
But Patrick didn’t win in Peterborough. In fact he lost his deposit.
Meanwhile in an election almost certainly sullied by voting fraud, the Brexit Party candidate, coming from nowhere also lost when the seat was stolen from him.
Arguably if the election had been fair and free from cheating, the Brexit Party candidate would have won and we would have our first Brexit Party MP.
But this is not about the Brexit Party.
This is about the SDP or Social Democratic Party to give it its full name.
I expect most folk reading this already know about the history of this party but here’s a two point resume. Skip it if you know this already.
- The SDP changed British Politics forever back in the 1980’s. Then it went through a near death experience. The party staggered along for years with a handful of members. Recently it has gone through a rapid expansion as the Brexit betrayal by both the Tories and Labour came to the fore.
- The implosion of UKIP along with disillusionment with the anti-Brexit bias of both Conservative and Labour elites gave the SDP a ready supply of new members. I understand the membership now currently stands around 10,000. Which is a hell of a leap forward!
So why, with such an excellent candidate as Patrick O’Flynn, did the SDP do so badly in this by-election?
I believe the answer to that is simple. It is anonymity.
While Patrick (and others) have done stirling work on the MSM and social media to promote the party, it still has no edge. No clear identity to the public.
Compare the SDP to the pompous odious identity of the Green Party. While nobody really knows the crack-pot policies the Greens expound people still know “who” they are.
The Green Party has achieved this because they have for years successfully ridden of the backs of drama laden romantic attention seekers who have courted publicity at every stage.
These people played the victim (or the victim proxy) even when they were actually the intimidators, going around ruining peoples lives, jobs and (ironically on many occasions) the environment itself with their antics.
But the Green Party shamelessly hooked up with these characters, rode the wave and now has one MP and many councillors.
The SDP cannot do what the Green party has done. After-all the SDP is anything but an extremist party.
There is no publicity hungry enterprise that goes out of its way to promote social cohesion that the SDP can piggy-back off.
There is no pool of fanatics who will make lots of noise and disruption in the name of common sense.
There is no extremist driven ideology promoting the middle ground that the SDP can use to power it forward.
In essence the SDP is “The Sensible Party” and sadly in the real world this means it will fare even less well than its namesake in Monty Python.
Clearly, if the SDP cannot make a bigger impact on Parliamentary Elections than at Peterborough, especially when offering a truly superb candidate as Patrick O’Flynn, then it needs to re-think its strategy.
Especially as Parliamentary elections are ruinously expensive in money, time and effort.
Even if there was a miracle pathway to parliamentary success it would be pretty much choked off today by the Brexit Party. Both partys are strongly pro-brexit but today all the electoral firepower is with the Brexit Party.
If anything, in this narrow point in time where Brexit will be the electoral priority of those who would potentially vote SDP then a vote for the SDP will only be a counter-productive vote splitter in Parliamentary elections.
After Brexit though, things change.
Unlike the Brexit Party, the SDP is not seen (if it is seen at all!) as a single issue group. The Brexit Party is. Much as it tries to say otherwise it is seen as a single issue concern. The clue is in the name.
There are also avenues in other tiers of UK government that the Brexit Party appears to be simply not interested in. These offer fertile grounds for the SDP and some are in fact starved of any political input from just about anyone.
So could the SDP have a relationship with the Brexit party? And how can the SDP seek a pathway to influence and power in the near term other than through Westminster?
Here's the full set of posts on this topic.
The Social Democratic Party - Where Now?
The SDP and the Brexit Party
SDP: Local Politics and the Low Hanging Fruit
Arming the Parish Councillors
Parish Councillors: Party Aligned? or Independent?
Parish Councils are Dying: So What?
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